Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.3%. Yes opened at 69% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 5 Jul 2024, the highest close was 97.3% on 5 Jul 2024 and the lowest 69% on 4 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 89.5% on 23 Jun 2024. $326.34K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 5 Jul 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 69.0% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 97.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rousseauuu | No | 28.18K |
| Rapid Signal AD04 | No | 44.56 |
| sxASA | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
After saying he would not, Nigel Farage announced plans to run with Reform UK in the 2024 UK general election scheduled for July 4. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nigel Farage is elected to the House of Commons in the 2024 UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nigel-farage-win-election-to-uk-parliament
| Yes |
| 0.03 |
| fdrxsedfrx | Yes | 0.03 |
| kmjotguyvf | Yes | 0.02 |
| hbujiknkkjol | Yes | 0.02 |
| ewdrfewfr | Yes | 0.02 |
| sazedszaed | Yes | 0.02 |
| Favorable-Suspension | Yes | 0.02 |
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