Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$31.7K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 14, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 87.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 14 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.1% on 5 Aug 2026 and the lowest 87.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.2 points down, to 90.9% on 27 Jul 2026. $31.75K traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 85%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Jul 2026	87.5%
14 Aug 2026	99.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
BadImp	No	9.49K
yesworld28	No	1.07K
manimao	No	920.93

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).