Analytics
Resolved No on 5 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 5 May 2025, the highest close was 30.5% on 12 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 21% on 26 Mar 2025. $637.16K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 5 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 16.5% |
| 5 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 272.5K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 15.34K |
| Ghilbert | Yes | 8.53K |
Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round. The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicușor Dan receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
| Yes |
| 5.5K |
| Mariocrs | Yes | 5.04K |
| 09crx91 | Yes | 5.02K |
| Ciolacool | Yes | 3.2K |
| kazzo | Yes | 3.2K |
| GABI | Yes | 3.09K |
| Feisty-Porcupine | Yes | 2.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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