Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 2.9% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. $855.1 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 12:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sitdownontopme | Yes | 112.77 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 12.34 |
| richardd | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-finals-player-to-miss-penalty-20260716182001120
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.3 |
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