Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 31 Dec 2025 and the low 0.3% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 29.5% on 1 Jan 2026. $25.92K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 5:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 150 points · 30 Dec 2025 – 10 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MelissaBoone8735 | Yes | 364 |
| DonnaScott4275 | Yes | 297 |
| JohnRodriguez3868 | No | 276 |
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-17-primary-winners
| Yes |
| 214 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | Yes | 204.08 |
| DianaJohnson1092 | No | 195 |
| niglette | Yes | 180 |
| StephenMiller9350 | Yes | 161 |
| CynthiaLandry1725 | Yes | 158 |
| JoshuaSmith3917 | No | 80 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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