Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.7%. Yes opened at 63% on 15 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 15 May 2025 to 5 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 4 Jul 2025 and the lowest 63% on 15 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 69.5% on 21 Jun 2025. $12.75K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 15 May 2025 – 5 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2025 | 63.0% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 95.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Droogg | No | 17.44 |
| poets | No | 1.56 |
| caroline.name | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over what will be present in the next reconciliation bill signed by Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-in-the-next-reconciliation-bill
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 0.03 |
