Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 34 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 116 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 28 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 40% on 1 Sep 2026.
$23.83 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.16K since listing. The order book holds $471.11, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 134 trades, $756.55 bought Yes and $3.68K bought No; the largest was a $2K buy of No at 86.2¢.
The largest Yes position is YKD with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is BlindAndDeaf with 3.6K. Ten wallets hold 94.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlindAndDeaf | No | 3.57K |
| YKD | Yes | 2.27K |
| TelAvivQuant | No | 2.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30
| cutbum |
| Yes |
| 815.4 |
| David-linden | Yes | 580.34 |
| newnewuser | Yes | 458.97 |
| Ebaroza112 | Yes | 285.71 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 260 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 212.5 |
| eranhaglili | Yes | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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