Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 45% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 17.5% on 18 Feb 2026.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 1:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 45.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.43K |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 1.58K |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 199.99 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 189.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in Nepal’s House of Representatives (Pratinidhi Sabha) as a result of this election. If voting in the next Nepali election for the House of Representatives does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Commission, Nepal (https://election.gov.np/np/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nepal-house-of-representatives-election-2nd-place
| qiangduxie | Yes | 175.45 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 124.5 |
| kuiqinxia | Yes | 101.76 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.99 |
| testbij | Yes | 78.92 |
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