Will NDP win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 31, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$26.1K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 31, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 31 Oct 2024, the highest close was 32.6% on 24 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.4% on 30 Oct 2024. $26.09K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 8:41 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 31 Oct 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Sep 2024	13.0%
31 Oct 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.38K
travisscott	Yes	31.25
Pollyespana	Yes	8.33

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Canadian province of Saskatchewan has scheduled a general election for October 28, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NDP (Saskatchewan New Democratic Party) controls a greater number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan than any other party after the results of the 2024 Saskatchewan general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats controlled, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saskatchewan government and/or information published by Elections Saskatchewan (https://www.elections.sk.ca/). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.