Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 17 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 351 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 97% on 15 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 61% on 14 Feb 2025. $11.41K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 351 points, 17 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2025 | 26.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| burnday | Yes | 183.65 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 100 |
On January 16, it was reported that Maverick Carter is seeking $5 billion to start a professional basketball league intended to compete with the NBA. You can read more about it here: https://sg.news.yahoo.com/investors-seek-5-billion-to-form-basketball-league-to-rival-nba-051441296.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-based professional basketball league or organization seeking to directly compete with the NBA raises more than $3 billion USD in funding by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, minor leagues, regional leagues, or leagues that explicitly act as feeder leagues to the NBA will not qualify as competitors. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from a qualifying organization, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nba-competitor-raise-3b-in-2025
| SeniorBob | Yes | 90.5 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 49.27 |
| Jw2151 | Yes | 48.28 |
| power1337 | Yes | 42.66 |
| tyl88 | Yes | 40 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 38.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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