Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$110.4K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 24 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 36.5% on 25 Mar 2026. $110.42K traded over the market's life.

74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 6:11 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Mar 2026	45.0%
9 Apr 2026	41.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	41.55K
Gifted-Tomato	Yes	10K
hassams	Yes	1.43K

10 of 74 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).