Analytics
Yes is at 22.5%, down 28 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
Across the 156 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%; a month before, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 65% on 9 Jun 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Nansen launch a token by ___?”.
$75.65K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $460.48, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $7.56K bought Yes and $2.3K bought No; the largest was a $2.57K buy of Yes at 45.7¢.
The largest Yes position is crazydrops with 500 shares; the largest No position is dadadadayazi with 642. Ten wallets hold 95.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 22 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dadadadayazi | No | 641.79 |
| crazydrops | Yes | 500 |
| lexaman.eth | No | 184.7 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-nansen-launch-a-token-by
| CapyOnChain |
| Yes |
| 149.57 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 54.63 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 52.63 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 50 |
| arishone | Yes | 29.13 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 26.81 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 26.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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