Will Nancy Mignault win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?

worldResolved

No, settled Oct 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.8K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 6, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 25% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 25% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 1.3% on 3 Sep 2026. $1.81K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 9:47 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 6 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	982.7
Calimer0	Yes	277.61
balthazar	Yes	145

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).