Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 45% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 23 Dec 2025, the highest close was 45% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 21.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $4.36K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 25, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 23 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 45.0% |
| 23 Dec 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.98K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 472 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 349 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-us-netflix-movie-this-week-192
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 331 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 274.97 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 168 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 151 |
| jiuyez | Yes | 133.4 |
| 357908 | Yes | 132.65 |
| pad20 | Yes | 128.41 |
