Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 25% on 14 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2025 to 15 Aug 2025, the highest close was 25% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 24% on 15 Aug 2025. $2.91K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 16, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Aug 2025 – 15 Aug 2025, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | 25.0% |
| 15 Aug 2025 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.91K |
| qwertzu | Yes | 432.19 |
| AiBird | Yes | 400 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 222 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
MrBeast (https://kick.com/mrbeast) is scheduled to livestream with xQc and Adin Ross on Kick on August 14, in an effort to raise $5 million for the TeamWater project (https://teamwater.org/). You can read more about that here: https://x.com/MrBeast/status/1955019057478222325 This market will resolve based on the length of time the named livestream lasts. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If this stream is cancelled or delayed to a date after August 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the referenced stream, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-mrbeasts-teamwater-livestream-last
| Crwnds | Yes | 181.78 |
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