Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 23, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$15.7K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 23, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 8% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 23 Aug 2026, the highest close was 10.2% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.7 points down, to 0.4% on 23 Aug 2026. $15.71K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 23 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Aug 2026	8.0%
23 Aug 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Merry-Grandmom	Yes	11.99K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.04K
balthazar	Yes	700
sunmee	Yes	182.37

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.