Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 24.5% on 11 Feb 2026. $107.32K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gdub | Yes | 2K |
| Kambe | Yes | 1.28K |
| Richgoddess2 | Yes | 1K |
| classxbt | Yes | 640.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast's puzzle challenge is solved by February 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statements which explicitly indicate a person or entity has solved the puzzle and won the million-dollar prize will qualify. Any statements indicating the puzzle has been solved but the solver is not eligible for receipt of the prize will not qualify this market for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve exclusively based on statements from MrBeast or his legal or social media representatives. This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying statements from MrBeast.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeasts-million-dollar-puzzle-be-solved-by-february-15
| EGB11 | Yes | 621.9 |
| 13lur | Yes | 471 |
| BeN | Yes | 455.1 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 355 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 288 |
| byufyt | Yes | 278.76 |
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