Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 25% on 20 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 25% on 20 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 19.5% on 21 Aug 2025. $81.24K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 43 points · 20 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bHdGeBYqKO | Yes | 698 |
| MadetoTrade | Yes | 364.1 |
| rafaelpredicts | Yes | 200 |
| lissartter | Yes | 186.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On August 1, 2025, a Friday, MrBeast posted a video on his main YouTube channel, which breaks his usual pattern (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4hVGCWH1Kc). This market will resolve to “Yes” if MrBeast posts a YouTube video on a weekday (Monday - Friday, ET) between August 19 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's main YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's regular posted videos. Shorts, previews, or videos on platforms other than YouTube will not be considered.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-post-another-video-on-a-weekday-by-september-30
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 133 |
| Levi07 | Yes | 125 |
| Tefflon | Yes | 55.56 |
| Popedanks | Yes | 53.33 |
| Tonymontanovich | Yes | 45.45 |
| MaxValue | Yes | 44.44 |
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