Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$134.4K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 44% on 23 Feb 2026. $134.44K traded over the market's life.

75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Jan 2026	51.5%
29 Mar 2026	1.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Tjubi	Yes	3.11K
sunmeee	Yes	607.3
TENETENET	Yes	478.3

10 of 75 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.