Analytics
Yes is at 31%, down 16 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
The high was 62.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the low 8% on 10 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 14.5%; a month ago, 29.5%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 62.5% on 16 Oct 2026.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.67K since listing. The order book holds $330.98, with a 26.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 84 trades, $458.38 bought Yes and $495.21 bought No.
The largest Yes position is unluigi with 354 shares; the largest No position is Meowie2k with 200. Ten wallets hold 91.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 9:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 47.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: torzsi, xertioN, Spinx, xelex, PR. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mouz-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31
| WillBeQuant |
| No |
| 192.4 |
| Medium-Peacock | Yes | 110 |
| JustADonk | No | 100 |
| m0stwant3d | No | 100 |
| austr | No | 82 |
| Haradwaith | No | 80.01 |
| Anjun | No | 55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
