Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 24 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 47.3% on 26 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 2.5% on 27 Apr 2026. $2.44K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 12.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gkggf | Yes | 1K |
| 50000Harry | Yes | 21 |
| 42ds | Yes | 20.2 |
| eeeeeeret | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the French Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Ligue 1 for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Ligue 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. If the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ligue-2-team-promoted-to-ligue-1
| wwder | Yes | 10 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 0.01 |
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