Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 54% on 13 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 57% on 20 Feb 2025 and the low 5% on 6 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 5% on 6 Mar 2025. $13.54K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 1:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 13 Feb 2025 – 6 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2025 | 54.0% |
| 6 Mar 2025 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ottershaman | Yes | 601.35 |
| Crimson Meteor A940 | Yes | 4.62 |
| Violet Meteor 994B | Yes | 3.17 |
| Tuomass | Yes | 1.75 |
| BigSmolE | No | 0.01 |
| kkkarlos | No | 0.01 |
| blyagha | No | 0.01 |
| akl-4ibm | Yes | 0 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if reality TV stars from "La Isla de las Tentaciones" José Carlos Montoya and Anita Willaims make the decision to remain together in a romantic relationship in the finale of Season 8. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Montoya and Williams break up before the season finale and one or both leave the show, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of "La Isla de las Tentaciones", however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-montoya-stay-with-his-girlfriend
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