Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 6 Dec 2025 and the low 5% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 17.5% on 19 Dec 2025. $83.95K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 6 Dec 2025 – 13 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.73K |
| InsiderrrZ | Yes | 13.72K |
| puravida | Yes | 4K |
| cowcat | Yes | 2.58K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in December 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for December 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 13, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-us-monthly
| simurg | Yes | 1K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 950 |
| deepen1 | Yes | 925.93 |
| shine | Yes | 830.02 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 403 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
