Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 10, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.8K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 10, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 25% on 13 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2025 to 10 Apr 2025, the highest close was 25% on 13 Mar 2025 and the lowest 3.2% on 10 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 12% on 14 Mar 2025. $13.84K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 12:30 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 13 Mar 2025 – 10 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Mar 2025	25.0%
10 Apr 2025	3.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.61K
Nonstop-Document	Yes	1.5K
Truthful-Sycamore	Yes	41.67
split	No	0.03

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in March 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.