Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$20.0K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 12, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 49%. Yes opened at 33% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 12 Mar 2025, the highest close was 53.5% on 10 Mar 2025 and the lowest 24% on 9 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 24% on 9 Feb 2025. $19.97K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 12:40 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 12 Mar 2025, chart shows 10%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Feb 2025	33.0%
12 Mar 2025	51.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.73K
akl-4ibm	Yes	0.02
otencrtu	No	0.02

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in February 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.