Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 11, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 55.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 11 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 14 Feb 2026 and the lowest 26% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 28.5% on 15 Feb 2026.

52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 3:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 11 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Feb 2026	45.5%
11 Mar 2026	44.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	20.28K
armand	Yes	1K
0xd0asbr274g27rg	Yes	1K
Slim-Patrimony	Yes	568

10 of 52 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in February 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.