Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$266.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 11, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 11 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 38.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 14 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 14 May 2025 to 11 Jun 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 10 Jun 2025 and the lowest 22.5% on 14 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 24% on 6 Jun 2025. $266.65K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 12, 4:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 14 May 2025 – 11 Jun 2025, chart shows 10%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 May 2025	22.5%
11 Jun 2025	38.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	23.67K
Emerald Kestrel 780B	No	1K
Solar Pioneer E7FB	No	1K
21212157	No	256.41

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in May 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.