Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 13 Jan 2026, the highest close was 36% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 36% on 6 Dec 2025. $2.94K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 13 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 19.0% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.52K |
| paspor | Yes | 325.62 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 236 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in December 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on January 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-argentina-monthly
| Yes |
| 207.47 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 148.77 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 109.39 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 68.14 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 63.86 |
| Liamyxy | Yes | 53.79 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 40.72 |
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