Will monthly inflation be 3.0% or higher in September?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.5K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 26 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2025 to 15 Oct 2025, the highest close was 40.5% on 26 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 3.5% on 27 Sep 2025. $3.51K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 12:35 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 26 Sep 2025 – 15 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Sep 2025	40.5%
15 Oct 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.53K
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	643.98
SuperQuant	Yes	150
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	128

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentinian, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in September 2025 September 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.