Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56%. Yes opened at 53% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 18 Mar 2026, the highest close was 56% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 53% on 17 Mar 2026.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 53.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 56.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TonyWall2179 | No | 719 |
| SandraSawyer3875 | No | 617 |
| Sardonic-Airfield | No | 250 |
| ChristianMueller6110 | No | 242 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-tweet-on
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| Foppoloninskiusla | No | 142.86 |
| 5atka | No | 100 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 100 |
| Square-Mesenchyme | No | 98.92 |
| Buddytronic | No | 45.45 |
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