Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, down 5 points from 6% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
The high was 6% on 22 Aug 2026 and the low 0.9% on 9 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.9%; a month ago, 1.1%.
It is one of 6 markets under “Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner”.
$192.24 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $22.24K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is flexer78 with 110 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 189.
Trading closes on 7 Feb 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 2:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 22 Aug 2026 – 7 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 6.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 189.01 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 110.1 |
| AJSV | Yes | 20 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner
| Mojito9 |
| Yes |
| 18.92 |
| Cosmic Raven 18CF | Yes | 13.06 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 12 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 10 |
| Fluo | Yes | 4.94 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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