Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 9 May 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.1% on 9 May 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 94% on 8 May 2026. $44.04K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 4:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 9 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 99.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hesure | No | 50 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.32 |
| bulbnbob | No | 30.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/?sortBy=red_cards&order=desc
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-europa-league-most-red-cards
| No |
| 30 |
| Lavincey | No | 12.92 |
| Beto8h | Yes | 11.52 |
| wwder | No | 5 |
| JohnJJJ | Yes | 3.39 |
| Youngnolly | No | 2.29 |
| xflip | No | 0.17 |
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