
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 11% on 24 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 47.4% on 9 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 14 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 47.4% on 9 May 2026. $5.71K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 6:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 24 Apr 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | 11.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Spartacus23 | Yes | 81.13 |
| giga-chad- | Yes | 20 |
| buur | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the 2025-2026 league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Serie A for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Serie B, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by Serie A and Serie B. If the 2025-2026 Serie B season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Serie A and Serie B. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/serie-b-team-promoted-to-serie-a
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 15 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 7.45 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| 36dgfdgdgdg | Yes | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page