Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 4 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 78.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $1.36M traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 4 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 28.5% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey Governor Election is greater than 14%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mikie-sherrill-win-by-14
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 940.35 |
| Skeeter | No | 399.99 |
| hyHfsoxwXc | No | 349 |
| Abandoned-Fetus | No | 286.47 |
| qXyTOvkYCL | No | 262 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 260 |
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