Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 12 Apr 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 48.5% on 2 Jan 2026. $212.14K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 12 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 69.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PhongLeXBT | No | 14.07K |
| wendys | Yes | 3.23K |
| Bldzwttrn | No | 2.81K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026
| horatio | No | 2.5K |
| humanbee | Yes | 1.99K |
| SemisGod | No | 1.06K |
| policestici | No | 500 |
| readyplayer6 | No | 500 |
| gigimontoya | No | 500 |
| Merlot | No | 349.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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