Will Michael Saylor say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?

Resolved

No, settled May 2, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$76.0K

Resolved

Settled

May 2, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 73.5% on 29 Apr 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 2 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 2.5% on 2 May 2025. $76.04K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 3, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Apr 2025	58.5%
2 May 2025	2.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Neon Comet 99F5	Yes	845
Ivory Raven DC58	Yes	790
Misty Quasar ACCF	Yes	600

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The MicroStrategy Q1 2025 earnings call is scheduled to take place on May 1st, 2025. (https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-earnings-release-date-and-live-video-webinar-for-first-quarter-2025-financial-results_04-15-2025) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Saylor says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will not count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," but killjoy is a compounding of "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and audio of the event.