Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 163 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 3 Jun 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.5% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 15% on 5 Dec 2025. $2.62K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 2:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 163 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 3 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 24.5% |
| 3 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.74K |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 213.67 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 160 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/montana-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 125 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 117.9 |
| cash-machine | Yes | 81.31 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 71.55 |
| zhxx12345 | Yes | 30.81 |
| Likely-Spear | Yes | 18.11 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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