Analytics
Resolved No on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 150 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 12 May 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15.6% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 15.6% on 12 Mar 2026. $601.01K traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 3:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 12 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 2.1% |
| 12 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 93.47K |
| username13 | Yes | 16.6K |
| Protrad | Yes | 8.86K |
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 7.94K |
| korda77 | Yes | 4.67K |
| balthazar | Yes | 4.53K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 3.96K |
| merod | Yes | 2.95K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 2.81K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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