Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 26 Nov 2025 and the low 0.2% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 31% on 27 Nov 2025. $10.64K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 1:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 191 points · 26 Nov 2025 – 24 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 50.5% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.89K |
| Blind Chicken | Yes | 2.78K |
| cowcat | Yes | 403.75 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ny-15-democratic-primary-winner
| oliman2 | Yes | 136.95 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 98.65 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 75.66 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 70 |
| Azure Scout 0ECD | Yes | 67.09 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 60.32 |
| agsa | Yes | 51.49 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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