Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 9% on 26 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2026 to 3 Jun 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 29.5% on 18 Mar 2026. $1.53K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 26 Feb 2026 – 3 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | 9.0% |
| 3 Jun 2026 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.74K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 160 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 125 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/montana-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 117.89 |
| subprimemaster | Yes | 59.4 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.3 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
| Rowdy-Life | Yes | 10 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | Yes | 5 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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