Will Mexico finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.8K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 51% on 5 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 7.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $1.8K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 3:08 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 5 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Jun 2026	51.0%
19 Jun 2026	1.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.88K
akko123	Yes	500
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
gntsgroup	Yes	95

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.