Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Sep 2025.
$339.71 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2025 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tiny-Merchant | No | 17.86 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metaplanet's total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be announcements from Metaplanet as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, Metaplanet’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://metaplanet.jp/en/analytics
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-metaplanet-hold-20k-btc-by-september-30
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