Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 63% on 5 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2025 to 16 Jun 2025, the highest close was 88% on 7 Jun 2025 and the lowest 63% on 5 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 75.5% on 6 Jun 2025. $12.52K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 17, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 5 Jun 2025 – 16 Jun 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2025 | 63.0% |
| 16 Jun 2025 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metaplanet holds 10,000 or more bitcoins at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be announcements from Metaplanet as to their total BTC holdings
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-metaplanet-hold-10k-btc-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ImpatientXBT | No | 0.06 |
| drox | No | 0.02 |
| lele23 | Yes | 0.01 |
| caroline.name | Yes | 0.01 |
