Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 13 points from 20% when the market opened on 25 Feb 2026.
Across the 217 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 30 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 37% on 30 Apr 2026.
$2.47 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.18K since listing. The order book holds $610.64, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 354 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 697. Ten wallets hold 87.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 217 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 20.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 696.84 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 354 |
| MetrixNeo | Yes | 237.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Meta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-meta-launch-a-usd-stablecoin-in-2026
| Cobalt Pioneer 7024 |
| Yes |
| 151.78 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 149.37 |
| Distinct-Kale | No | 105 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 100.17 |
| Kharekk | No | 91 |
| WixterHybrid | No | 62.14 |
| Emerald Tide 0D5C | No | 59.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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