Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 231 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 28 Aug 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 46% on 7 May 2026. $2.47K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 231 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 28 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.17K |
| oneAce | Yes | 1.63K |
| dovers | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-merab-dvalishivili-fight-next
| balthazar | Yes | 199.99 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| akko123 | Yes | 136 |
| wobuaiwork | Yes | 130 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 83.48 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 69.98 |
| 46adasd | Yes | 52.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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