Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 9 Sep 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 7.5% on 26 Feb 2026. $4.01K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 42.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.87K |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 15.09 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nh-01-republican-primary-winner
| 9fdgkliydu43 | No | 1.23 |
| 56sdfdsfs | Yes | 0.2 |
| rsgt3 | No | 0.09 |
| donthackme | No | 0.02 |
| 10gukjgjhgh | Yes | 0.02 |
| TraderProMax | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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