Will Mehreen Malik win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$694

Resolved

Settled

Oct 9, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 9 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 9 Oct 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 2 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 3.4% on 3 Sep 2026. $693.87 traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 4:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 9 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	9.72K
e46m3	Yes	3.84K
balthazar	Yes	313.79

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).