Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 5% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Aug 2026. $906.76 traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 4:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 7 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 5.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.07K |
| azu1005 | Yes | 220.08 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the second greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sao-tome-and-principe-parliamentary-election-2nd-place
| Yes |
| 103.99 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| balthazar | Yes | 59.85 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 22 |
| Poised-Rivulet | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
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