Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?

sportsResolved

No, settled Aug 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.0K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 19, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEsports

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 19 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 18% on 19 Jul 2026. $7.02K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 19 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Jul 2026	50.0%
19 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.06K
enigmaexpert	Yes	1.73K
mustbethewater	Yes	84.56
normalOne	Yes	71.24

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.