Resolved No on 20 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 5% on 28 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2026 to 20 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.2% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.2% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 37.2% on 4 Aug 2026. $177.19 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 20 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 5.0% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 542.58 |
| Anon321321321 | Yes | 104 |
| balthazar | Yes | 99.99 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 95.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the SoloQ Challenge 2026 (Low Elo), currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to August 17, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, SoloQ Challenge (https://soloqchallenge.gg); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/solo-q-challengelow-elo-winner-20260727171050756
| crckr | Yes | 77.11 |
| merod | Yes | 40 |
| zekesito2 | Yes | 40 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 8 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
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